Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 7.391451 8.464474 9.655000 11.076630 12.731684 14.602002 16.881812
2025-02-23 5.866618 7.222184 8.849973 10.958704 13.632759 16.929816 21.332418
2025-03-02 4.936641 6.406893 8.278042 10.853647 14.337309 18.928570 25.509046
2025-03-09 4.260974 5.768733 7.779439 10.687033 14.833537 20.608987 29.393715
2025-03-16 3.722102 5.221689 7.302096 10.439651 15.122474 21.965319 32.930328
2025-03-23 3.492528 5.065324 7.329716 10.883247 16.421993 24.897055 39.181400
2025-03-30 3.221367 4.810482 7.174336 11.017131 17.243371 27.173653 44.696715
2025-04-06 2.946229 4.515835 6.919998 10.954573 17.725372 28.940834 49.585895
2025-04-13 2.697818 4.234744 6.652802 10.831314 18.075781 30.506992 54.316610
2025-04-20 2.573953 4.137796 6.665309 11.164028 19.225775 33.567155 62.180392
2025-04-27 2.446092 4.020305 6.629153 11.402998 20.228194 36.472945 70.171598
2025-05-04 2.362637 3.968249 6.695404 11.823929 21.601992 40.224228 80.397255
2025-05-11 2.165448 3.705450 6.377198 11.521736 21.597218 41.365964 85.508017
2025-05-18 2.018979 3.519391 6.178001 11.419798 21.966558 43.292072 92.608789
2025-05-25 1.886752 3.347263 5.987714 11.312801 22.308431 45.196663 99.960125
2025-06-01 1.758691 3.171852 5.775316 11.138830 22.488552 46.774785 106.805234
2025-06-08 1.632284 2.989228 5.533367 10.879999 22.457072 47.882304 112.696582
2025-06-15 1.602351 2.987640 5.639179 11.344253 24.039479 52.799327 128.881466
2025-06-22 1.537583 2.912826 5.593815 11.484387 24.916332 56.205553 141.798681
2025-06-29 1.456201 2.798669 5.459650 11.418909 25.314242 58.522701 152.221759
2025-07-06 1.374976 2.678686 5.303756 11.289899 25.547507 60.465817 161.962642
2025-07-13 1.344813 2.660715 5.358213 11.638151 26.964832 65.576140 181.747222
2025-07-20 1.307113 2.624048 5.369693 11.888311 28.171013 70.312621 201.383181